@failedLyndonLaRouchite

I believe the point here is that I of course have no knowledge of the future. Much like anyone. My post is a play on this very common message being repeated across the web and in news articles:

"AI isn't going to replace your job - but someone using AI will".

This statement is often lauded as an obvious and irreversible truth. What I'm doing with my playful post is challenging that assumption. We are seeing many reports of the failure of AI to adhere to facts, of misplaced trust leading to critical mistakes (lawyer trusting sources), and the exploitation of others work to make the systems, potentially putting you in harms way when you rely on the non-consensual sourcing of other people's output. And that's not mentioning bias.

As an example: it has been said for almost a decade that radiologists will be replaced by AI. At the same time it has been shown that AI won't detect the long tail of diseases that radiologists pick up on. Also, even experienced radiologists who trust AI decisions do not challenge them enough, and hence a radiologist working with AI can make more severe mistakes with than without AI.

From the research cited below: "When the purported AI suggested the wrong category, their accuracy fell to less than 20%. Experienced radiologists—those with more than 15 years of experience on average—saw their accuracy fall from 82% to 45.5% when the purported AI suggested the incorrect category."

My intent is to tell another story, also based on real-world data, but I agree that anything that is said about the future is not a definite story. Which is also an important learning. The future belongs to all of us, and is not something inevitable that tech giants control.

I think Jenna Burell brings home this last point well:

"When powerful tech figures link arms behind an attention-grabbing statement alleging AI superpowers, they are also saying, as the Wizard of Oz did, “pay no attention to the man behind the curtain.” They are saying “the power resides in the machine.” They are distracting us from the enormous amount of wealth and power they stand to gain from the rise of AI — and from the fact that it doesn’t have to be this way. They would like to skip past today’s real work, that of tackling the challenges and wrestling with the possibilities that will shape the world to come. Instead, they ask us to look to the future — but they forget that the future belongs to us all."

Sources for my assertions:

Why AI will not replace radiologists
https://towardsdatascience.com/why-ai-will-not-replace-radiologists-c7736f2c7d80

Will Artificial Intelligence Replace Radiologists?
https://pubs.rsna.org/doi/10.1148/ryai.2019190058

AI bias may impair radiologist accuracy on mammogram
https://medicalxpress.com/news/2023-05-ai-bias-impair-radiologist-accuracy.html

Do We Expect More from Radiology AI than from Radiologists?
https://pubs.rsna.org/doi/full/10.1148/ryai.2021200221

AI Will Change Radiology, but It Won’t Replace Radiologists
https://hbr.org/2018/03/ai-will-change-radiology-but-it-wont-replace-radiologists

Artificial Intelligence and the Ever-Receding Horizon of the Future
https://techpolicy.press/artificial-intelligence-and-the-ever-receding-horizon-of-the-future/