Most predictions are wrong, and certainly most of the ones quoted in the financial pages of prestigious newspapers.

So don’t be afraid to make your own.

Here are mine for 2024:

– The definition of what AI is will continue to be an elusive, confusing muddle.
– Unrealistic promises of the technology will fail to materialise and trust will diminish.
– Thousands of AI startups will go belly-up.
– Musk will promise 100% full self-driving by 2025 (it’s an Earth tradition for him to push it one year every year).
– There will be more deaths by ”self-driving cars”.
– There will be advances in healthcare, transport, architecture, farming and robotics using machine learning, but this will have nothing to do with language models.
– A multitude of ongoing court cases will rule in favor of copyright holders, essentially placing a cease-and-desist on many language models.
– In a televised interview Sam Altman vill admit that while language models serve a purpose in writing reports and code faster, they are not the way forward for wicked problem-solving and autonomous intelligence.
– Research will show that school students’ capacity for creative problem solving has regressed with an increase in their use of language models..

I think most of ”The Big AI Crash of 2024” will start happening in June.

Now, what’s your prediction? 😁